NIH, Wuhan, Gain-of-Function fundingIn case you missed it
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Recent data from the UK shows the oldest populations stand to receive the most visible benefits from COVID-19 vaccination. By far.
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UK Surveillance Data Article UpcomingApologies for the delay but this analysis became a bit more involved - the layers that needed peeled back were far more than I initially suspect…
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Upcoming ArticlesNew surveillance data from England just came out yesterday. I will be reviewing this data today and tomorrow and writing an article with an anal…
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Oklahoma Hospitals and IvermectinI was working on an article for release tonight or tomorrow morning, but Robby Soave of Reason magazine beat me to the punch. So instead of cont…
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New Articles Coming SoonI’ve had a busy week or two creating a decent backlog amidst the ever changing circumstances with the pandemic. But I expect to have a decently …
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Prediction: moving forwardI will not be updating the prediction model daily. But for those interested in keeping track themselves, here is the prediction for the next 14 …
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Prediction: short recapMany were curious to see what the prediction model would have shown if the data were smoothed instead of raw. I have incorporated a 7 day rollin…
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Prediction finaleToday the last data point (8/20) is in, 7 deaths, and is very far below the predicted bounds. The wide disparity, 46 deaths one day, 26 another,…
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Prediction update: homestretchTwo new data points have come in since the last update. 8/18 and 8/19 with 19 and 29 deaths respectively. Both within the prediction bounds, unf…
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Prediction update: few days remainingYesterday’s (8/17) numbers, 17 deaths, were at the lower bound of our estimate. Unfortunately cases are still climbing exponentially, and appear…
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Prediction update: still climbingI have found that some are following this very closely and appreciate regular updates. So I will continue to update until the end of the predict…
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